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The heavy rainfall that had catastrophic effects on Pakistan last summer is likely related to climate change. This is a conclusion 26 global networked climates Refer the weather in the world (WWA).
Scientists rely on climate models and weather data. These show that precipitation has increased as a result of global warming as a result of climate change. In the hardest-hit southern provinces of Sindh and Baluchistan, the increase in the five-day period of bad weather was 50 percent. In the Indus Valley, during a 60-day period of the most severe weather, storm surge increased by 75 percent.
Without climate change, there might have been less rain. Researchers can’t say for sure if this is the case, because the amount of precipitation that falls in this area often varies, and other causes may have played a role as well.
The findings are in line with research by the United Nations Climate Panel, the intergovernmental panel on climate change. At the end of June, the United Nations already spoke of an “unprecedented climate catastrophe” in Pakistan, which faced severe weather in June, July and August. At least 1,300 people died, and 1.7 million homes were destroyed or damaged, as well as more than 1,400 health care facilities. 6,700 kilometers of the road network were severely damaged. Sindh and Balochistan respectively saw seven and eight times more rain than usual in August.
More than a million homes in Pakistan have been damaged or completely destroyed, as in Ratodero:
The World Academy of Women’s Affairs also published a study in May on the relationship between extreme weather and climate change in Pakistan. Then the focus was on the long heat waves that plagued Pakistan before the monsoon season (and thus heavy rains) began in June. Such heat waves are becoming 30 times more likely due to global warming than they were 120 years ago, when the Earth had not yet warmed past 1.2 degrees. pointed researchers at the time.
This new research focuses on precipitation and contributes to scientists’ search for the causes of extreme weather events. “The more of these studies we do, the clearer that picture becomes,” says Sjoukje Philip, who is involved in WWA as a KNMI researcher.
The researchers also looked at models that predict what would happen if warming rose to 2 degrees. The research report says rainfall in Pakistan is likely to become more severe. “A logical conclusion,” says Philip. “As the atmosphere warms, it traps more moisture, which causes more torrential rain.”
That is why, according to Philip, it is imperative that Pakistan adapts to these new extreme rainfall events. “The research is not just about climate and weather, but also about how that affects people.” Philip points out, among other things, crops that failed due to the prolonged heat and the millions of people affected by the storm in other ways.
Pakistan is still working hard to get water out of the flooded areas. Pakistan’s Climate Minister Sherry Rehman said the government was using “all possible technical means” for this.
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