Portugal, Germany or even France. They remain potential rivals to the Red Devils in the eighth finals. It must be said: After Switzerland’s 3-1 victory over Turkey, the chance of the Belgians beating a feared Group F advanced country has once again diminished. The Swiss now have four points, which should be enough to finish in the top four – it remains to be seen. And if Switzerland is actually one of the top two thirds, the chance is 1 in 10 that the Belgians will extract a country from a group F.
How to calculate who the Red Devils should play against seems complicated, but it all depends on who the best thirds are. In the event of a tie, they are also ranked according to the goal difference and the number of goals scored.
For example, if the best two-thirds come from groups A, B, C and D, Belgium will play against the two-thirds of group A (full table can be found below). All this, of course, provided that the Devils win their group – a tie with Finland will be enough.
Hypothetical against Switzerland in the final 1/8
At the moment (after the finals in Group A), the best third-placed teams come from Groups A (Switzerland), B (Finland), C (Austria) and F (Portugal). This means that the Devils will actually face Switzerland in the eighth final.
It’s improbable but not impossible: what if the Red Devils were still second in their group? Then all the best third-party scenarios can go to the trash and play against the second-placed Group A: Wales on June 26 in Amsterdam. If the Devils and the Dutch survived the eighth final, they would meet in the quarter-finals.